Should US Pull Out of Chicago

 My wife received an interesting email from one of her concerned Republican friends and family members. Here is the email:
Pull out of Iraq !

Perhaps the U.S. should pull out of Chicago ?

Body count:
In the last six months:
292 killed (murdered) in Chicago ;
221 killed in Iraq .

Chicago.... Who Runs it:
Senators:  Barack Obama & Dick Durbin

Rep:  Jesse Jackson Jr.,
Illinois Gov:  Rod Blogojevich,
Illinois House leader Mike Madigan,
Illinois Atty. Gen. Lisa Madigan (daughter of Mike),

Chicago Mayor Richard M. Daley (son of Mayor Richard J. Daley)
.....our leadership in Illinois .....all Democrats.
Thank you for the combat zone in Chicago .
Of course, they're all blaming each other!

Can't blame Republicans; they're aren't any!
State pension fund $44 Billion in debt, worst in country.
Cook County ( Chicago ) sales tax 10.25% highest in country. (Look 'em up if you want).
Chicago school system rated one of the worst in the country.
This is the political culture that Obama comes from in Illinois .  And he's gonna 'fix'  Washington politics for us!
 I took the liberty of removing lots of GIANT COLORED FONTS.

The numbers struck me as interesting, but without context, so I did a little research. Here's what I found out:

Murder rates in U.S. cities (by rank):
http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0934323.html.
1:   Compton, CA
11: St. Louis, MO
13: Washington, D.C.
15: San Bernadino, CA
16: Kansas City, MO
32: Milwaukee, WI
35: Hartford, CT
45: Dallas, TX
46: Houston, TX
48: Chicago, Ill.
49: Phoenix, AZ

So, not only are there 47 cities in the U.S. that are more dangerous than Chicago, there is a city in Arizona (John McCain's home state) that is just about as dangerous.

Even more interesting are the murder rates in U.S. States:
http://www.deathpenaltyinfo.org/murder-rates-1996-2007

  8: ARIZONA
15: ALASKA
18: CALIFORNIA
19: TEXAS
20: ILLINOIS
27: DELAWARE,

Residents of the home states of John McCain, Sarah Palin, and George Bush are more likely to be murdered than residents of Illinois.

That site also shows that states with no death penalty have MUCH lower murder rates than those with death penalty. Unfortunately all the major candidates (other than Green and Independents) are pro-death penalty: http://deathpenalty.procon.org/viewresource.asp?resourceID=1741


The number of soldiers currently in Iraq is about 200,000.

The population of Chicago is 2,836,658

So, the 292 murdered in Chicago indicates that for the six month period, 1 out of every 10,000 people in the city was murdered. In Iraq, the rate was TEN TIMES that high – one out of every 1000 U.S. soldiers was killed. There is really no comparison. If there were as many Americans in Iraq as Chicago residents, then over 3000 of them would have been killed in the same period at the current rate. It’s not at all fair to say that more people were killed in Chicago than killed in Iraq. You could also truthfully say that while only 221 soldiers were killed in Iraq this year, 18,000 people were murdered in the U.S, and only about 30 were murdered in Compton!

A tangential side effect of this misinformation is that it may make people think that our soldiers in Iraq are as safe as they would be walking the streets of Chicago. THIS IS NOT CORRECT, and is actually somewhat disrespecful to our troops. We should not underplay the danger that the soldiers are in every day. In fact, Iraq is the single most dangerous place in the world. In the last six months, 110 out of every 100,000 soldiers in Iraq was killed. In Compton, the city with the highest murder rate in the country, only 30 out of every 100,000 people are murdered in six months. In Columbia, the country with the highest murder rate in the would, only 32 out of every 100,000 people are killed in six months. Johannesburg, South Africa is considered to be the city with the highest murder rate in the world. In Johannesburg, 65 out of 100,000 people are killed every six months. Soldiers in Iraq are almost twice as likely to be killed as residents of Johannesburg.

The email then went on to state that Cook County has the nation's highest county tax rate. I didn't bother looking this up, but I did look up state sales taxes:
http://www.fairtaxation.org/facts/sales_tax_rank.php

1Tennessee9.35%
2Louisiana8.70%
3Washington8.45%
4New York8.25%
5Oklahoma8.15%
6Alabama8.00%
7Arkansas8.00%
8California7.95%
9Texas7.95%
10Arizona7.80%
11Illinois7.60%



46Alaska1.25%
47Delaware0.00%
48Montana0.00%%
49New Hampshire0.00%%
50Oregon0.00%%

Obama’s state is behind Bush’s and McCain’s (and Hillary’s). The state of Washington has the second highest state sales tax? Who knew?

Kudos to Governor Palin for using that oil revenue to virtually eliminate state sales tax, but what’s up with Joe Biden’s state having no state sales tax??


Next the email talks about state pension problems. In fact, my research here showed that state pensions are facing serious problems all across the country. States have been borrowing wildly from them for years and will soon have to do something about it However, Illinois is not the worst offender. In fact, Illinois has a far less serious threat than some other states, first among which is ALASKA!

Alaska has a state pension deficit of $8.5 billion. I’ll admit that $8.5 billion doesn’t begin to compare to $44 billion, but when you look at the state pension deficit per person:

Alaska: $12,436.39 per person

Illinois: $3423.44 per person

The AFL/CIO rates threats to state pensions at this site: www.cwapublicandhealthcare.org/pensions/st-pension-threat-levels.html Threats to state pension deficits are rated as as red, orange and yellow depending on the threat level. THE NUMBER ONE AND TWO STATES WITH THE WORST THREATS TO THEIR STATE PENSION SYSTEMS ARE ALASKA AND ARIZONA (Palin and McCain’s states). California is number three. Illinois is number NINE and is an orange state.

SUMMARY: Numbers by themselves are rarely meaningful. You have to put them into context to understand them. I came up with these statistics by doing some very simple googling. Note that these results are the first matches I found. I didn’t have to dig around to find this. It’s just plain simple fact. I didn’t know what I would find when I did my googling. For all I knew Chicago and Illinois would have the number 1 crime rate in the country. The only reason I did the searches was because the numbers were presented with no context, making me want to know how they compare to the rest of the country.

I cite all my references and put the numbers in context by comparing them to other relevant numbers. This is the way responsible people distribute facts. Emails with scary facts or numbers that make no effort to reveal all the facts are obvious scare tactics and need to be researched before we put any credence into them. Also, any time you see an email with something that seems to be unbelievable, it probably is! A little bit of research is usually enough to find the truth.

 
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Comments

  • 10/25/2008 5:44 AM Rick F. wrote:
    Excellent response. I, too, received this bullshit about comparing Iraq deaths and CHI murder rates, schools, etc. Completely without context or looking at the full view of Bush's debt all over the country.

    I was going to do my own research to rebutt this crap, so thank you for saving me a few hours!

    I am going to research the NCLB Act, which has been severely underfunded by Republicans since it was enacted 6 years ago.

    Thanks again!
    Reply to this
    1. 10/27/2008 8:40 PM Jeremy wrote:
      Thanks. What I can't believe is people actually believe everything they get in emails and don't bother to do the simplest research to check.

      I don't know too much about the NCLB, but I've heard it's horribly flawed and doesn't stand a chance of working.
      Reply to this
  • 10/28/2008 1:05 PM Timothy R. wrote:
    Thank You. Unfortunately this email was brought to my attention by my mother to whom it was sent in a mass office wide email by her boss and the owner of the business. A tad inappropriate? I would think so.
    Reply to this
  • 10/28/2008 8:01 PM Roni wrote:
    Thanks so much for researching the bogus email. I've been bombarded with these vague and "scary" emails. Most of them can be squelched by visiting Snopes. This one, however, I couldn't find any info on. THANKS for the researching the info!!! I have sent the research info to the person that emailed me the bogus info. At least the facts are known.
    Reply to this
  • 10/29/2008 11:46 PM Mike wrote:
    The Democrats pushed for equal lending. This is what ya get. Thank you Barny Frank.
    Reply to this
  • 11/1/2008 12:45 PM Pat J. wrote:
    Hi Jeremy, I appreciate your input. I agree, there is a lot of information flying out there that is slanted with the intent to "scare" people. One of my pet peeves also is not checking the facts before forwarding false/slanted information (the aforementioned email is what led me to your web site).

    From a personal perspective (with regards to the email), you have to be an Illinoisan to truly appreciate Chicago political corruption. For instance, because of the nature of my job, I sometimes have to work at a Chicago "sister" facility. Let's just say that the lack of ethics at the facility in Chicago is over the top "out there". Others who come from other sister facilities around the country have commented about it. All I have been able to surmise is... it's the Chicago way.

    Oh, and the Honorable George Ryan was a Republican, so much for the part in defense of Republicans.

    Truth told, probably Washington has the same lack of transparency.
    Reply to this
  • 5/16/2009 5:42 PM nick_getdom wrote:
    http://www.message_alletoe.com/
    Reply to this
  • 8/11/2010 1:21 AM fm transmitter wrote:
    Thanks. What I can't believe is people actually believe everything they get in emails and don't bother to do the simplest research to check.
    Reply to this
  • 9/3/2010 1:00 PM Zachary Y. Cooper wrote:
    I learn something new everyday or get to read about other people's experience which is why I love reading blogs.
    Reply to this
  • 9/5/2010 10:57 AM Marie A. Kaplan wrote:
    Keep posting and keep providing great and great information.
    Reply to this
  • 1/11/2011 2:17 AM Ila Williamson wrote:
    ok mais est ce vraiment toujours comme cela
    Reply to this
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